Southeast Louisiana, Rice and Louisiana Tech weaken the non-conference schedule strength, but the Tigers play Georgia and Florida out of the SEC East and, well, they play in the West. Auburn, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and Miami – you won’t find many teams with five tougher games on their schedule… outside of the SEC West.
Three teams come in with a win total of seven.
Texas A&M leads the way. Over seven wins for the Aggies comes at a price of -120 and shows a slight lean towards the Aggies winning eight games due to the price. If Texas A&M didn’t start the season with FCS Northwestern State, they would have the toughest schedule in not only the SEC, but the entire country. The Aggies schedule is ranked inside the top 10 of almost every strength of schedule ranking available. No disrespect to the Demons, but the Aggies season starts on September 8th with National Champion contender Clemson. UAB and Louisiana-Monroe close out the non-conference schedule for A&M, but the reason this schedule is so tough is simple: the SEC West and Clemson.
After opening the season with three straight home games, the Aggies then play five of six games on the road starting with the Tide. I said there aren’t many teams with a tougher slate of games than LSU, but the Aggies will travel to Tuscaloosa, Fayetteville, Auburn, Starkville, and Columbia, S.C. While the Gamecocks may not seem like a Goliath, only Auburn and Alabama have more home wins than South Carolina since Will Muschamp has been the Gamecocks coach.
South Carolina and Florida end spring practice with similar expectations for the 2018 season, at least in the eyes of bookmakers. Both teams have a regular season win total prop of seven games, have similar strength of schedule rankings, and play non-conference rivals to close out the year. That may be where the similarities end.
The Gamecocks and Gators play each other November 10th, and for betting purposes the winner of that game could be the only team that gets over the seven game mark. Cupcake wins are slated for both teams on November 17th (Florida plays Idaho, South Carolina gets Chattanooga), but the season ends with the Gators and Florida State and South Carolina playing Clemson. The Gamecocks end the season playing three of four on the road and finish with Ole Miss, Florida, and Clemson, while the Gators finish playing three of their last four games in The Swamp. Florida gets Mississippi State and LSU out of the West while South Carolina plays Texas A&M and Ole Miss.
Missouri is only team with a win total of 6.5 and for the Tigers, not being at the bottom of any projections is a good thing. Drew Lock led the FBS with 44 passing touchdowns in 2017, but will have a new face calling plays in 2018. Derek Dooley returns to the SEC with a chip on his shoulder and arguably the best quarterback in college football.
UT-Martin, Wyoming, Memphis, and Purdue are slated for non-conference play, and the Tigers travel to Tuscaloosa and get Arkansas at home in the season finale.
If the offense doesn’t regress too far this team can make some noise.
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